US Intelligence: Belarus Has Become Russia's Forward Military Base
According to a report by US intelligence to the US Congress, Belarus has transformed into an almost full-fledged part of Russia's military infrastructure in Eastern Europe. Minsk should now be viewed not just as a partner, but as a forward Russian military base, directly impacting NATO's eastern flank and complicating US defense planning, reports Army Recognition.
The photo is illustrative. Photo: "Vayar"
The changes in this direction began with Russia's permission to use Belarusian territory for its attack on Ukraine in early 2022. Following this, Minsk continued to open bases, airspace, and logistical corridors for Russian strikes and troop movements. This allows Moscow to reduce reaction time, conceal intentions, and maintain pressure on northern Ukraine, as well as pose a threat to Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia.
The US pays particular attention to the nuclear component. Belarusian troops are training to use 9M723 missiles from the Iskander-M complex, which can carry conventional or tactical nuclear warheads. Even if nuclear warheads remain under Russian control, the integration of these systems into Belarus changes the military situation in the region.
Furthermore, Belarus has become a support point for Russia's anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) system through joint intelligence and air defense networks. Russian S-400 and Pantsir-S1 systems enhance air control and the protection of key facilities, while Russian radar and communication centers in Belarus increase the effectiveness of early warning.
The Belarusian armed forces are currently focused on conscription and territorial defense, but possess equipment (T-72B3 tanks, BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicles, BTR-82A armored personnel carriers) that allows them to maintain territorial security and key routes, freeing up Russian forces for offensive operations.
The gradual militarization of the country is supported by the internal consolidation of power, which stabilizes the strategic alliance between Minsk and Moscow and ensures Russia's continued access to Belarusian territory.
For the US and its allies, Belarus is now considered a key operational element of Russia's position in Europe: a staging ground for troop redeployment, a base for strikes, and an area for forward nuclear signaling. This allows Moscow to maintain multi-directional pressure on Ukraine and creates additional strategic uncertainty near NATO's borders.