JD Vance may decline to run in the next presidential election

Vance's political prospects have been impacted by the recent Republican defeat in the congressional elections, Trump's record-low approval rating among Americans, and the ongoing war with Iran. In addition, Vance is contemplating how to reconcile his presidential ambitions with the rift in the MAGA ("Make America Great Again") movement shaped by Trump, as well as family circumstances: his fourth child was born over the summer.

According to CNN sources, Vance would like to rebuild unity within MAGA, which helped him and Trump win the 2024 election. However, he is not confident that he should be the one leading the movement. One of his close associates noted that he would not be surprised by any decision the vice president makes. Vance is currently 42 years old, so he could still return to high-level politics later when the political climate is more favorable to his success.

Vance's associates view the war with Iran as one of the main obstacles to his presidential ambitions. One of them told CNN that if the conflict does not end, no Republican candidate may have a chance of winning the 2028 election.

Following the first results of the congressional elections, Vance stated that Republicans were defeated precisely because of the Iranian conflict. He wrote that the war was the cause of the party's failure and that Republicans had lost control of the Senate for at least six years. Vance also conceded that critics of the war had been right.

Some of his supporters saw these statements as an attempt to distance himself from the military operation and establish his own position ahead of a potential presidential campaign. According to sources speaking to The Washington Post, Vance understands the Trump administration's issues well, but anticipates that the situation could change once Democrats consolidate their power in Washington. One of his associates noted that two years is a very long time in politics, and current circumstances may still change.

Vance's public statement regarding the reason for the Republican defeat caused irritation for Trump, CNN reports. On November 12, the president removed the vice president from negotiations with Iran, which Vance had recently been handling. Earlier, it was reported that Washington and Tehran had drafted a preliminary peace agreement that envisioned mutual concessions.

Trump stated on his social network Truth Social that the US does not need a deal with Iran, and that Vance will now focus on exposing corruption in Democrat-run cities and states.

Terry Schilling, president of the conservative organization American Principles Project, believes it would be a mistake for Vance to forgo running based on political expediency. According to him, the vice president is effectively already prepared to take on a leadership role ahead of one of the biggest political battles.

Meanwhile, other Republicans are already gearing up for a potential presidential campaign. Among them are Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, and Georgia Governor Brian Kemp.

Earlier, Vance and Marco Rubio were regarded as the primary potential candidates to succeed Trump, though the president himself has not publicly favored either. According to information from the newspaper The Washington Sun, Rubio may soon step down as Secretary of State to prepare for a presidential bid in 2028 or 2032.

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