For the first time in US history, the population could decline as early as 2026. This is due to President Donald Trump's strict immigration policy, notes Bloomberg agency.
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Previously, the Federal Bureau of Census predicted that the decline in the number of residents in the US would not begin before 2081. Throughout the history of official censuses in the country, such a reduction has never been observed, as the US has always attracted migrants, and this contributed to population growth.
Analysts at the American Enterprise Institute and the Brookings Institution note that the first real decline in the number of residents could occur as early as 2026.
Even if this doesn't happen exactly this year, Trump's second presidential term, according to them, accelerates the arrival of a critical moment: the net inflow of migrants will no longer compensate for the decrease in birth rates and the increase in mortality due to an aging population. The possible reduction is more than 400 thousand people.
Demographic problems can negatively affect the economy. Bloomberg cites examples of China, where the lowest birth rate since 1949 was recorded in 2025, and Japan, where population decline slows economic growth. Similar processes in Europe are also considered a factor in economic stagnation.
According to the Federal Bureau of Census, as of July 1, 2025, the US population was 341.8 million people, and today the population has grown to 342.3 million.
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