Donald Trump, despite claims of a swift victory, admits that the aerial operation against Iran could continue for some time.
Photo: Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
Against this backdrop, former US military intelligence officer Michael Pregent, in a conversation with Bild, described three possible scenarios for ending the conflict — from a symbolic declaration of victory to a prolonged campaign with periodic strikes.
The first option is to declare the operation successful after destroying most of Iran's missile infrastructure. According to Pregent's assessment, if strikes continue for a few more weeks, most of the launch facilities can be incapacitated, after which Washington can declare the main objective accomplished.
"We strike IRGC infrastructure with missiles and drones. Then 95 percent of Iran's ballistic missile launch sites will be destroyed. Mission accomplished," says Pregent.
The second scenario involves attempting to pressure the Iranian leadership through support for the opposition: instead of massive attacks, targeted strikes on security structures are possible, along with simultaneous assistance to opponents of the regime.
The third option is a prolonged, low-intensity conflict without a ground operation. In this case, the US and Israel will maintain air control and conduct strikes as targets emerge, similar to the campaign against the "Islamic State" group.
According to Pregent, the introduction of ground forces is unlikely due to the risk of getting entangled in a prolonged war with unpredictable consequences.
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Comments
Сцэнар:
1. В'етнам.
2. Карэя.
3. Афганістан.
1 объявляют маленькую победу и уходят??? Иран простит убийства лидеров? Сын простит убийство отца, жены, детей .... Пролив откроет???.
2. Также лажа как и у пути была с Украиной, когда он поверил что украинцы тока и ждут его бомб
3. Амурская экономика сдохнет намного быстрей иранской....
Нас ждут очень непростые и, великие одновременно, времена